Category: Insight

17 Aug 2018

CAM High Yield Weekly Insights

Fund Flows & Issuance: According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were $0.4 billion and year to date flows stand at -$34.0 billion. New issuance for the week was $10.2 billion and year to date HY is at $131.2 billion, which is -22% over the same period last year. 

(Bloomberg) High Yield Market Highlights

  • The primary market looks set to hibernate for the rest of this month.
  • Starwood’s $300 million five-year senior notes offering has not finalized terms yet, may price today
  • Investors continued to vote for junk bonds with an inflow for the week ended August 15, the third consecutive positive week
  • Retail funds have seen inflows in five of the last six weeks
  • Yields fell, spreads were steady, stocks rebounded, VIX dropped, commodities recovered and oil rose slightly
  • CCCs beat single-Bs and BBs, with a YTD return of 4.16


(PR Newswire) Aircastle Corporate and Senior Unsecured Credit Ratings Upgraded to Baa3 by Moody’s

  • Aircastle announced that Moody’s Investors Service has raised the Company’s corporate family and senior unsecured credit ratings to Baa3 from Ba1 based on Aircastle’s improved performance prospects, reduced fleet risk, conservative capital position and effective liquidity management.
  • Mike Inglese, Aircastle’s Chief Executive Officer, stated, “Aircastle is now part of a select group of global aircraft leasing companies with investment grade credit ratings from all three major rating agencies.  We are very pleased that Moody’s, S&P and Fitch recognize the strength of Aircastle’s business platform and our unique position in the industry.”  Mr. Inglese continued, “As the leading investor in the secondary aircraft market, Aircastle is positioned to continue to grow in a disciplined and profitable manner.  We believe that three investment grade credit ratings will substantially broaden Aircastle’s liquidity base and funding access, and should enable us to efficiently raise competitively priced capital in the global markets to further drive profitable growth.”  


(Company Filing) Dish CFO resigns

  • Mr. Steven E. Swain notified DISH Network that he was resigning as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective August 22, 2018.
  • The Boards of Directors designated Paul W. Orban as the principal financial officer.
  • Mr. Orban, age 50, has served as our Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer since December 2015 and is responsible for all aspects of our accounting and tax departments including external financial reporting, technical accounting policy, income tax accounting and compliance and internal controls for DISH Network.  Mr. Orban served as our Senior Vice President and Corporate Controller from September 2006 to December 2015 and as our Vice President and Corporate Controller from September 2003 to September 2006.  Since joining DISH Network in 1996, Mr. Orban has held various positions of increasing responsibility in our accounting department.  Prior to DISH Network, Mr. Orban was an auditor with Arthur Andersen LLP.  Mr. Orban is a certified public accountant and has an undergraduate degree in Accounting from the University of Colorado.


(Investor’s Business Daily) Diamondback Energy Expands In Permian With Energen Buy

  • Shale producer Diamondback Energy agreed to buy Energen in an all-stock deal valued at $9.2 billion, setting up Diamondback to be the Permian Basin’s No. 3 producer.
  • Under the deal, which includes Energen’s net debt of $830 million, shareholders will receive 0.6442 shares of Diamondback common stock for each share of Energen common stock. This represents a price of $84.95 per share based on the closing price of Diamondback common stock on Monday. The transaction has been unanimously approved by the boards of directors of each company.
  • Earlier this month, Diamondback agreed to acquire all leasehold interests and related assets of Ajax Resources for $900 million in cash and 2.58 million shares of common stock.
  • Management said the Energen buy should close at the end of Q4 and will add to per-share earnings and per-share cash flow in 2019, supporting increases in capital returned to shareholders. But Diamondback will maintain its dividend and assess growth in capital returns in 2019. Earlier this year, the company initiated an annual cash dividend of 50 cents a share.
  • “This transaction represents a transformational moment for both Diamondback and Energen shareholders as they are set to benefit from owning the premier large-cap Permian independent with industry leading production growth, operating efficiency, margins and capital productivity supporting an increasing capital return program,” said Diamondback Energy CEO Travis Stice in a statement.  


(Bloomberg) Amazon Is Said to Be in Running to Buy Landmark Movie Chain

  • Amazon.com Inc. is in the running to acquire Landmark Theaters, a move that would vault the e-commerce giant into the brick-and-mortar cinema industry, according to people familiar with the situation.
  • The company is vying with other suitors to acquire the business from Wagner/Cuban Cos., which is backed by billionaire Mark Cuban and Todd Wagner, according to the people, who asked not to be identified because the discussions are private. The chain’s owners have been working with investment banker Stephens Inc. on a possible sale, the people said. No final decisions have been made, and talks could still fall apart.
  • Pushing into movie theaters would follow Amazon’s expansion into myriad other forms of media, including a film and TV studio and music service. With Landmark, it gets a chain focused on independent and foreign films with more than 50 theaters in 27 markets, including high-profile locations in New York, Philadelphia, Chicago, Los Angeles and San Francisco.
  • Landmark’s theaters are known for art-house fare, and some high-end locations include coffee bars or lounges, setting them apart from the typical movie experience.
  • “This is probably a move to get broader distribution of film content,” said Leo Kulp, an analyst with RBC Capital Markets LLC. “Netflix had been discussed as a potential buyer of Landmark for a similar reason.”
17 Aug 2018

CAM Investment Grade Weekly Insights

Investment grade corporate spreads drifted wider mid-week before firming on Thursday and into Friday morning. As we go to print, spreads for the corporate index are now unchanged for the week.

According to Wells Fargo, IG fund flows for the week of August 9-August 15 were +$910 million. IG flows are now +$88.544 billion YTD.

Per Bloomberg, $29.950 billion of new issuance printed during the week. Relatively speaking, this was a robust week for issuance considering that it is mid-August, a time that is typically associated with lower levels of supply.  In fact, the consensus issuance figure for August was $60bln and that has already been surpassed with $66.2bln in new issuance month to date.  Bloomberg’s tally of YTD total issuance stands at $763.684bn.

Despite a relative deluge of supply, dealer inventories remain very low, near their lowest levels since 2013.

 


(PR Newswire) Aircastle Corporate and Senior Unsecured Credit Ratings Upgraded to Baa3 by Moody’s

  • Company now one of only two industry players with investment grade ratings from the three major credit rating agencies
  • Mike Inglese, Aircastle’s Chief Executive Officer, stated, “Aircastle is now part of a select group of global aircraft leasing companies with investment grade credit ratings from all three major rating agencies.  We are very pleased that Moody’s, S&P and Fitch recognize the strength of Aircastle’s business platform and our unique position in the industry.”  Mr. Inglese continued, “As the leading investor in the secondary aircraft market, Aircastle is positioned to continue to grow in a disciplined and profitable manner.  We believe that three investment grade credit ratings will substantially broaden Aircastle’s liquidity base and funding access, and should enable us to efficiently raise competitively priced capital in the global markets to further drive profitable growth.”


(Bloomberg) Bayer Vows Stronger Roundup Defense as It Absorbs Monsanto           

  • The German drug and chemical giant said it will formally absorb the U.S. company after selling some crop-science businesses to competitor BASF SE to resolve regulatory concerns. Because U.S. authorities insisted that the businesses operate separately until that sale was complete, Bayer said it previously had been barred from steering Monsanto’s legal strategy.
  • That will now change as the stakes mount in the U.S. battle over Roundup. Bayer is facing $289 million in damages after Monsanto lost the first court case stemming from claims that the weed killer causes cancer. Even if a judge overturns or reduces the award, the trial will probably be the first of many: More than 5,000 U.S. residents have joined similar suits.
  • “Bayer did not have access to detailed internal information at Monsanto,” the Leverkusen, Germany-based company said in a statement. “Today, however, Bayer also gains the ability to become actively involved in defense efforts.”
  • The move to integrate the companies came as Bayer shares continued their slide in the wake of the court ruling, falling as much as 6.6 percent on Thursday. The company has lost about 16 billion euros ($18 billion) in market value this week, since the jury’s award in the Roundup case.
  • Bayer said on Thursday it’s considering its options for further legal action regarding the California listing, saying it “requires judicial intervention and correction.”
  • Bayer is also facing lawsuits in the U.S. over dicamba, another herbicide in Monsanto’s portfolio. The German company said it will also take an active role in any claims for damages over dicamba.


(The Canadian Press) Constellation Brands spending $5 billion to boost stake in Canopy Growth

  • Constellation Brands has signed a deal to invest $5 billion in Canopy Growth Corp. to increase its stake in the marijuana company to 38 per cent and make it its exclusive global cannabis partner.
  • The owner of Corona beer described the deal as the biggest investment yet in the burgeoning marijuana industry.
  • “Over the past year, we’ve come to better understand the cannabis market, the tremendous growth opportunity it presents, and Canopy’s market-leading capabilities in this space,” Constellation Brands chief executive Rob Sands said in a statement.
  • “We look forward to supporting Canopy as they extend their recognized global leadership position in the medical and recreational cannabis space.”
  • Makers of alcoholic beverages, searching for new sources of growth as their traditional business slows in many developed markets, are looking to cannabis as Canada and some U.S. states ease regulations. Molson Coors Brewing Co. has started a joint venture with Hydropothecary Corp. to develop non-alcoholic, cannabis-infused beverages for the Canadian market. Heineken NV’s Lagunitas craft-brewing label has launched a brand specializing in non-alcoholic drinks infused with THC, the active ingredient in marijuana.
10 Aug 2018

CAM High Yield Weekly Insights

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were $0.6 billion and year to date flows stand at -$34.3 billion.  New issuance for the week was $6.5 billion and year to date HY is at $121.0 billion, which is -24% over the same period last year. 

 

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights

  • The U.S. junk bond issuance onslaught continued yesterday, with five more deals for $4.6 billion priced and strong oversubscription. This week was, the second busiest year-to-date, and most active since March.
  • Global risk appetite took a hit this morning on Turkey contagion worries
  • Demand for high-yield bonds in the primary market was most evident in the pricing of BMC Software, a CCC- credit funding an LBO by KKR
  • Orders exceeded $4.5b for the $1.475b issue which priced at 9.75%, the wide end of talk after tightening from initial whispers of 10%
  • HCA Inc drove-by with a $2b 2-tranche offering on orders of about $7.5b, more than 3.5x the size of the offering; priced at tight end of talk
  • Marriott Vacations had orders of ~$3.8b, 5x the size of the offering, priced through talk
  • Earlier in the week, Springleaf Finance and Wellcare Health were oversubscribed multiple times
  • Junk bond yields are under some pressure as new supply hit, oil dropped for the second straight session and stocks retreated amid continuing trade tensions with China
  • CCCs stay on top as they beat BBs and single-Bs, with YTD return of 4.64%
  • IG bonds are down 2.36% YTD
  • Goldman expects big boost to junk bond issuance from a rebound in acquisition activity by high yield-rated buyers

 

(CAM Note)  Moody’s upgrades debt of Penske Automotive Group

 

  • The Moody’s upgrade was based on Penske’s continually improving credit profile. Additionally, Moody’s appreciates the diversity of Penske which helps insulate the Company from headwinds.

 

(CAM Note)  S&P downgrades debt of AMC Entertainment

 

  • The S&P downgrade was based on their assessment that discretionary cash flow could turn negative for 2018. Therefore, leverage is likely to remain elevated.  However, S&P did note that AMC has adequate sources of liquidity to fund operations.

 

(Los Angeles Times)  Tribune Media terminates sale to Sinclair Broadcast Group, seeks $1 billion in damages

  • Sinclair Broadcast Group’s proposed $3.9-billion deal to acquire Tribune Media is dead.
  • Tribune announced Thursday that it is terminating the merger agreement first announced in May 2017. The companies had the option to kill the sale if it had not closed by Aug. 8.
  • Tribune also said it filed a breach-of-contract lawsuit against Sinclair in Delaware Chancery Court, alleging it failed to make its best effort at getting regulatory approval of the sale. Tribune is seeking $1 billion in damages.
  • “In light of the FCC’s unanimous decision … our merger cannot be completed within an acceptable timeframe, if ever,” Tribune Media Chief Executive Peter Kern said in a statement. “This uncertainty and delay would be detrimental to our company and our shareholders. Accordingly, we have exercised our right to terminate the merger agreement, and, by way of our lawsuit, intend to hold Sinclair accountable.”
  • The merger has been on hold since the Federal Communications Commission voted July 19 to have the proposal reviewed by an administrative court, a process that has a history of killing such deals.
  • Sinclair’s plan to buy Tribune’s 42 TV had been expected to benefit from President Trump’s appointment of FCC Chairman Ajit Pai, who is considered a strong proponent of deregulation of the broadcast industry.
  • But Pai raised concerns about how Sinclair planned to divest some Tribune stations in order to meet the national cap on TV-station ownership. Under Sinclair’s plan, Tribune stations in Chicago, Dallas and Houston would have been sold to entities that had business ties to Sinclair for prices under market value. Sinclair also would have retained control of the stations even after the divestiture.

 

(Bloomberg)  Private-Prison REITs Expand Empires Thanks to Tax Advantages

  • A big part of the success stems from Trump’s plan to spend nearly $2.8 billion next year expanding immigrant detention capacity by 30 percent from 2017. More than 70 percent of undocumented immigrants were held in private prisons last year, according to nonprofit group In the Public Interest.
  • Use of the tax code plays a role, too. CoreCivic and GEO, the biggest U.S. prison companies, are classified as real estate investment trusts. That means almost all their profits from property-related operations are tax free as long as they’re distributed to shareholders through dividends.
  • The tax rules incentivize CoreCivic and GEO to build and lease detention facilities rather than only manage them. They’re doing just that.
  • Boca Raton, Florida-based GEO owned or leased 102 prisons in the U.S. last year, up from 65 in 2013, when it became a REIT.
  • CoreCivic, based in Nashville, Tennessee, reduced managed-only contracts to seven last year from 16 in 2013, the year it also became a REIT. Facilities it owns and manages or leases grew to 82 from 53.
  • “For the past five years, we’ve been very thoughtful about rebidding on CoreCivic Safety’s managed-only contracts when they are up for expiration,” CoreCivic spokeswoman Amanda Gilchrist said in an email. “The margins in the managed-only business are very low, and we are dependent on the government partner to maintain the real estate asset, including maintaining all critical security and life safety systems.”
  • Both companies also have business lines whose revenue is taxable.

 

(CAM Note)  Both GEO and CoreCivic reported 2nd quarter results that exceeded analysts’ estimates and raised guidance for the year.

07 Aug 2018

CAM Investment Grade Weekly Insights

CAM Investment Grade Weekly
08/03/2018

Corporate spreads remained firm this week. The OAS of the corporate index is 1 basis point tighter on the week as we go to print Friday morning.

According to Wells Fargo, IG fund flows for the week of July 26-August 1 were +$2.5 billion. IG flows are now +$79.8 billion YTD.

Per Bloomberg, $7.8 billion of new issuance printed during the week with no deals pending on Friday morning. Bloomberg’s tally of YTD total issuance stands at $699.784bn.

The 10yr Treasury closed above 3% on Wednesday but then retraced several basis points on Thursday. As of Friday morning, 10yrs are unchanged relative to the prior weeks close.

(Bloomberg) Internet Killed the Video Star. Charter Finds the Silver Lining.

  • Charter Communications Inc. offered up more evidence Tuesday that cable companies may yet be able to weather the fallout from the dreaded cord-cutter.
  • Charter reported second-quarter growth in internet subscribers and sales that beat analysts’ expectations. While the U.S.’s second-largest cable company lost 73,000 video subscribers, it was less than expected and the addition of 218,000 new internet customers helped soften the blow. That sent shares up as much as 7.1 percent Tuesday.
  • As cable-TV subscribers disappear in droves, Charter and bigger rival Comcast Corp. are increasingly focusing on growing their internet businesses, selling faster speeds as well as wireless service. Last week, Comcast said it added 260,000 broadband subscribers — its best second quarter in a decade.
  • For cable companies, selling TV service comes with several costs built in, including payouts to channel owners for the rights to carry their networks in a package. Selling high-speed internet, on the other hand, has less overhead after the costs associated with building the network.
  • In the quarter, Charter’s video losses came entirely from basic-cable customers, who bring in less revenue than fatter bundles with more channels.

 

(Bloomberg) High-Grade Landscape Improves as July Volume Falls to 5-Year Low  

 

  • The slowest July by primary volume in the last half-decade helped buoy a high-grade credit market that was sorely in need of a pick-me-up. While volume was a a statistical blip, the broader impact on the market was wide reaching.
    • A combination of new issue fatigue, issuers entering self-imposed earnings blackout periods and cyclical summer slowdown translated into disappointing July volume for non-EM, non-SSA, IG totaling just $57.48b vs $122.48b in 2017, a decrease of 53% YoY

 

    • However, stronger technicals, shrinking dealer balance sheets and positive earnings announcements re-established a robust investment-grade credit market
    • For issuers who proceeded with funding plans, primary metrics illustrate the strengthening backdrop
      • Borrowers paid a meager 2.3bps to bring new deals this month vs the ~5bps new issue concession observed this year
      • Spread compression from IPT to pricing averaged 15.7bps vs 14bps YTD.
      • Orderbook oversubscription rates came in at 2.9 times deal size in-line with the 2.8 YTD average
    • Execution metrics were even stronger during the last two weeks of July
      • Average NICs were flat, orderbooks 3.9 times covered and deal spreads tightened 18bps across execution
    • In the end, funding conditions in July improved to levels not seen since early February when credit spreads, at the tightest level in over a decade, coincided with an ultra-low Treasury yield environment. The reanimation was a lifeline to a struggling credit market that had started the month with spreads widening to YTD highs and issuance costs rising to double-digit concessions on a deluge of supply in late June

 

(Bloomberg) Credit-Card Backlash Mounts as Kroger Weighs Expanding Visa Ban

  • Kroger Co. is considering expanding a ban on Visa Inc. credit cards imposed by one of its subsidiaries, in the latest signal that retailers are preparing a fresh battle over the $90 billion they pay in swipe fees every year.
  • Shares of payment companies including Visa, American Express Co. andMastercard Inc. dropped on Monday. Merchants have long looked for ways to cut such charges, including by lobbying lawmakers for lower rates and through technology upgrades that avoid traditional card payments entirely.
  • The largest U.S. supermarket chain, Kroger said its Foods Co. Supermarkets unit in California will stop accepting Visa cards at 21 stores and five fuel centers next month. Kroger spokesman Chris Hjelm said in an interview that the parent company might follow the lead.
  • “It’s pretty clear we need to move down this path, and if we have to expand that beyond Foods Co., we’re prepared to take that step,” Hjelm said. When the amount retailers pay in card fees “gets out of alignment, as we believe it is now, we don’t believe we have a choice but to use whatever mechanism possible to get it back in alignment.”
  • Kroger’s announcement followed Walmart Inc.’s decision last week to abandon Synchrony Financial after the two couldn’t agree to economic terms. And Amazon.com Inc.’s foray into financial services has also been seen as a way the retailer could save $250 million.

 

07 Aug 2018

CAM High Yield Weekly Insights

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were $0.2 billion and year to date flows stand at -$34.9 billion.  New issuance for the week was $1.7 billion and year to date HY is at $114.5 billion, which is -25% over the same period last year. 

 

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights

  • Issuance-starved investors scrambled for Intelsat, the first Ca-rated sale of 2018, placing more than $4 billion in orders for what started as a $1 billion deal.
  • Offering upsized to $1.25b highlighting demand for credit rated lower than triple-C as investors move deeper down the risk spectrum for yield
  • FS Energy and PGT Innovations also oversubscribed by 3x-4x, priced at tight end of talk, as investors made a beeline to rare new issues after a long drought
  • Yesterday was the busiest issuance session in more than three weeks
  • S. corporate high-yield funds returned to inflow
  • CCCs continued to beat other fixed income assets with 4.53% YTD returns
  • Investment-grade bonds down 2.62% YTD
  • Strong technicals, steady economic growth, healthy corporate earnings and low default rate is backdrop for high yield
  • Default rate projected to decline to 1.5% by April 2019 from current 3.7%, according to Moody’s

 

(Company Release)  Seagate Technology Announces CFO Resignation

  • David H. Morton, Jr., executive vice president and chief financial officer at Seagate, will leave the company for a senior finance executive role at another company. Morton has agreed to assist in the orderly transition of his CFO responsibilities and will leave the company on August 3, 2018. His departure is not based on any disagreement with the company’s accounting principles, practices or financial statement disclosures.
  • Dave Mosley, president and chief executive officer said, “On behalf of the board of directors and executive team at Seagate, I would like to thank Dave for his contributions over his 20+ year tenure at the company. As chief financial officer, Dave championed company-wide efforts to create shareholder value through optimizing our financial model, strengthening the company’s balance sheet and driving strategic investments. We wish Dave the best in his future endeavors.”
  • Dave Morton said, “It has been a tremendous career experience working at Seagate and I am proud of the successful transitions we have accomplished in the business over the last few years. Seagate is well positioned with a strong operational and financial foundation to continue to achieve its strategic goals and create shareholder value.”
  • Seagate will be initiating a search for a successor CFO and has named Kathryn R. Scolnick interim CFO. Kathryn has been a senior finance executive at Seagate for six years leading the company’s investor relations and treasury operations.

 

(CAM Note)  Morton will fill the Chief Accounting Officer role at Tesla

 

(Bloomberg)  NY Regulator Rescinds Charter Merger Approval 

  • The New York State Public Service Commission revoked its approval of the 2016 merger between Charter Communications and Time Warner Cable because Charter did not provide the public benefits promised on which the approval was conditioned
  • Commission directed its counsel to bring enforcement action against the company
  • Commission directed Charter to pay $1 million to New York Treasury for missing the June milestone for expanding its service network, bringing the total amount of payments to $3 million
  • Charter is also ordered to file a plan with the Commission within 60 days to ensure an orderly transition to a successor provider, or providers
  • The Commission says the company repeatedly failed to meet deadlines and attempted to “skirt obligations to serve rural communities”
  • Charter says in a statement that Spectrum has extended the reach of broadband network to more than 86,000 New York homes and businesses since merger
  • Charter Communications has a “very strong legal case” in New York State and will litigate if needed against New York regulators, according to comments by management on its 2Q earnings call.

 

(Business Wire)  Arconic Reports Second Quarter 2018 Results

  • Arconic Inc. reported second quarter 2018 results, for which the Company reported revenues of $3.6 billion, up 10% year over year. Organic revenue was up 5% year over year, driven by higher volumes in the commercial transportation, automotive, aerospace engines, defense, and building and construction markets. This was partially offset by unfavorable aerospace wide-body production mix, and the negative impact of $38 million related to the settlements of certain customer claims.
  • Second quarter 2018 operating income was $324 million, up 1% year over year. Operating income excluding special items was $381 million, down 2% year over year, reflecting the impact of a $23 million charge related to a physical inventory adjustment in one facility, unfavorable aerospace wide-body production mix, and continued challenges in the Rings and Disks operations, mostly offset by higher volumes and net cost savings.
  • Arconic Chief Executive Officer Chip Blankenship said, “In the second quarter, Arconic delivered strong organic revenue growth and doubled adjusted free cash flow. We announced contract awards at the Farnborough International Airshow, providing groundwork for exciting growth with valued customers. We have initiated the sale process of our Building and Construction Systems business as the first outcome of our ongoing strategy review. Our team is delivering operational improvements where we need it the most. While there is plenty of work yet to be done, we are driving progress and generating positive momentum.”
  • Arconic ended the second quarter 2018 with cash on hand of $1.5 billion. Cash provided from operations was $176 million; cash used for financing activities totaled $35 million; and cash provided from investing activities was $117 million. Adjusted Free Cash Flow for the quarter was $289 million.
27 Jul 2018

CAM Investment Grade Weekly Insights

CAM Investment Grade Weekly
07/27/2018

Corporate spreads rallied this week and the corporate index is 6 basis points tighter on the week as we go to print on Friday morning. The tone of the market remains firm this morning.

According to Wells Fargo, IG fund flows for the week of July 19-July 25 were +$1.2 billion. IG flows are now +$77.248 billion YTD.

Per Bloomberg, $9.20 billion of new issuance printed during the week with no deals pending on Friday morning. This was lighter than consensus estimates, which had called for issuance of around $20bln.  Earnings blackout most likely played a role in abated issuance.  Bloomberg’s tally of YTD total issuance stands at $691.984bn.

Treasury rates opened higher on Monday but then remained unchanged throughout the week. All told, we are 6bps higher today on 10yrs relative to last Friday’s close.

(WSJ) Prolonged Slump in Bond Liquidity Rattles Markets

  • Many bonds around the globe are becoming harder to trade, prompting some investors to shift to other markets and raising concerns about a broad decline in liquidity.
  • The median gap between the price at which traders offer to buy and sell, a proxy for the ability to move in and out of markets quickly, has widened this year across European corporate debt and emerging-market government and corporate bonds, according to data from trading platform MarketAxess. Trading in some derivatives has picked up as traders pull back from bond markets they view as increasingly unruly and expensive.

 

 

  • In May, Italian two-year government-bond yields notched their biggest one-day jump since at least 1989. The surge was triggered by Italian politics, but a lack of liquidity appeared to amplify the moves as the gap between the price at which traders were willing to buy and where they were willing to sell surged to above half a percentage point, according to Thomson Reuters data.
  • Alberto Gallo, who runs more than $1 billion in Algebris Investments’ Macro Credit strategy, said it took “around 10 times longer” to unwind a bet on Italian bonds than normal and that it was hard to get bids or offers on trades of more than $10 million in size.
  • Liquidity “was bad and it’s remained relatively bad” since May, he said.
  • Meanwhile, parts of global bond markets have always had patches of illiquid trading, particularly during bouts of financial-market turbulence.
  • But investors say that it is getting worse even in these areas, particularly in emerging markets.
  • For dollar-denominated government debt in emerging Europe, the Middle East and Africa, the median bid-ask spread has risen roughly 75% this year to around 22 cents, according to MarketAxess.
  • The much larger presence of triple-B-rated debt in the market—the lowest-rated securities still considered investment grade—means that liquidity may be lower than it currently appears given investors may shun riskier securities during times of market stress, according to Gerard Fitzpatrick, Russell Investments’ EMEA chief investment officer.
  • “We’ve done some scenario testing there and we think it’s a concern,” Mr. Fitzpatrick said.
27 Jul 2018

CAM High Yield Weekly Insights

Fund Flows & Issuance:  According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were flat and year to date flows stand at -$35.1 billion.  New issuance for the week was $1.4 billion and year to date HY is at $112.7 billion, which is -24% over the same period last year. 

 

(Bloomberg)  High Yield Market Highlights

  • Issuance-starved junk bond investors made a beeline to Party City, the lone new issue yesterday, as the market headed for its slowest month for sales since January 2016. Yields fell to a five-week low across ratings, shrugging off fund outflows.
  • Party City got orders of about $1.6b for a $500m offering and priced at the tight end of talk
  • YTD supply is $112.7, lowest since 2009, down 24% year-on-year
  • CCCs yields dropped to six-month low yesterday
  • CCCs continued to beat other fixed-income assets, with a year-to-date return of 4.5%, the highest so far this year
  • IG bonds are down 2.75% YTD
  • High- yield backdrop is benign, including steady economic growth, healthy corporate earnings, low default rate

 

(Globe Newswire)  CoreCivic Enters Into New Agreement With Federal Government to Utilize the La Palma Correctional Center

  • CoreCivic announced that the Federal Government has entered into a new agreement to utilize CoreCivic’s 3,060-bed La Palma Correctional Center in Eloy, Arizona.  More specifically, the city of Eloy has agreed to modify an existing Intergovernmental Agreement with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to add the La Palma facility as a place of performance, while also permitting the U.S. Marshals Service (USMS) to utilize capacity at the facility at any time in the future.  ICE currently expects to house up to 1,000 adult detainees at the La Palma facility under the new agreement and may house additional populations at the facility, subject to availability.  No family units or unaccompanied minors will be placed in the facility.
  • The La Palma Correctional Center currently houses approximately 2,500 inmates from the state of California.  The State has begun to withdraw its population at the facility and announced plans earlier this year to ultimately discontinue utilization by January 2019.  Capacity at the facility will be made available to the Federal Government under the new agreement as additional State inmate populations exit the facility.  Under the terms of our agreement, the federal and state populations will not mix while both government entities utilize the facility.
  • The new contract commences on July 24, 2018, and has an indefinite term, subject to termination by either party with 90 days’ written notice.  Updated full year 2018 financial guidance reflecting the impact of this new agreement will be provided with the issuance of the Company’s second quarter 2018 financial results on Wednesday, August 8, 2018.

 

(CNBC)  Hospital operator HCA lifts full-year forecast as admissions rise

  • S. hospital operator HCA Healthcare reported a 24.8 percent rise in quarterly profit and boosted its full-year earnings forecast on higher patient admissions
  • The upbeat results, coming from the largest U.S. for-profit hospital operator, allayed concerns that patients were delaying non-emergency surgeries due to worries about soaring out-of-pocket medical costs.
  • Net income attributable to HCA rose to $820 million in the second quarter ended June 30, from $657 million a year earlier.
  • Revenue rose to $11.53 billion from $10.73 billion a year ago, while revenue per equivalent admission rose 2.1 percent.
  • Same-facility equivalent admissions, which include patients who stay in the hospital overnight and those who are treated on an outpatient basis, rose 2.8 percent.

 

(Business Wire)  Spectrum Brands Holdings Reports Financial Results

  • Effective July 13, 2018, the HRG merger was completed resulting in the merger of Spectrum Brands and its former majority shareholder HRG Group, Inc. As a result of the legal form of the merger, HRG Group, Inc. has emerged as the surviving legal entity and renamed as Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc., with a combined shareholder group of the two former entities, and will continue to operate as a global consumer products company similar to the legacy Spectrum Brands company.
  • Net sales of $945.5 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2018 increased 9.6 percent compared to $862.9 million last year. Excluding the impact of $4.9 million of favorable foreign exchange and acquisition sales of $14.5 million, organic net sales increased 7.3 percent versus the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $206.4 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2018 increased 3.6 percent compared to $199.3 million in fiscal 2017.
  • “I am pleased to report to you today that the turnaround of our HHI and GAC business units is well under way,” said David Maura, Chairman and CEO of Spectrum Brands Holdings. “While we have much more progress to make and will be investing in further efficiency measures over the next 12 months, I am thrilled that the leadership changes we have made and the focus on restoring the ownership accountability culture of our Company are already reading through to positive financial results. To execute 14.7 percent sales growth in our HHI division and a 12.5 percent top-line growth in our GAC division is gratifying, and a testament to what is possible with new leadership, new culture and an intense passion to win from our employee partners in these divisions.
  • “As we are regaining operating momentum, we are on track to deliver the improved performance we promised in the second half of this fiscal year,” Maura said. “As such, we reiterate our fiscal 2018 adjusted EBITDA guidance for continuing operations of $600-$617 million and total company adjusted free cash flow of $485-$505 million.”
24 Jul 2018

Q2 2018 Investment Grade Commentary

The second quarter of 2018 brought wider spreads and higher rates, which weighed on the performance of investment grade corporate credit.  The Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate Index opened the quarter at a spread of 109 basis points over Treasuries and it finished the quarter at a spread of 123.  Like spreads, Treasury rates were also higher on the quarter, as the 10yr Treasury rose as high as 3.11% on May 17th, before it finished the quarter at 2.86%, which was 0.12% higher than where it opened the quarter.  Wider (higher) credit spreads and higher rates both have a negative impact on bond prices, which sometimes cannot fully be offset by the coupon income that is earned from a diversified corporate bond portfolio.   The US Corporate Index posted a total return on the quarter of -0.98%.  This compares to CAM’s gross return during the second quarter of -0.45%.  Looking at YTD numbers, the corporate index posted a total return of -3.27% through the first 6 months of the year while CAM’s gross return was -2.94%.  CAM outperformed the index during the quarter due in part to the fact that CAM’s portfolio is always positioned in intermediate maturities that generally range from 5 to 10 years.  Treasury rates have moved higher thus far in 2018, and the index has a longer duration than CAM’s portfolio, so interest rates are more of a headwind for the corporate index relative to the intermediate positioning of CAM’s portfolio.  Additionally, CAM has benefitted from the higher credit quality of its portfolio relative to the Corporate Index.  CAM targets a weighting of 30% for its allocation to BBB-rated corporate credit, which is the riskier portion of the investment grade universe, while the index has a weighting of nearly 50% in BBB-rated credit.

Credit spreads finished the quarter near the widest levels of the year.  The tightest level for spreads in 2018 was on Friday, February 2nd.  Since that time, there has been significant dispersion in the performance of lower rated credit versus higher rated credit.  From February 2nd until the end of the quarter on June 29th, the Corporate Bond Index was 38 basis points wider.  During this same time period, single-A rated credit outperformed the index as a whole, as this higher quality portion of the index was 33 basis points wider while the BBB-rated portion of the index was a significant underperformer as it widened by 46 basis points.  In other words, since the market low on February 2nd, A-rated credit spreads have outperformed BBB-rated credit spreads by 13 basis points.  It is too early to tell if this quality performance dispersion is the making of a trend, but we at CAM are comfortable with our significant underweight to the riskier BBB-rated portion of the index, as we are not seeing enough value in riskier credit currently and believe that the balance between risk and reward is better served by staying overweight higher quality A-rated credit.  

The Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds Target Rate at its June meeting.  This marks the 7th increase in the target since the current tightening cycle began in December of 2015.  Our clients often ask us what we are doing in response to the Fed’s tightening cycle, which may call for an additional 1-2 rate hikes this year and as many as 3 in 2019.  Our response is that we will continue to position the portfolio in intermediate maturities that range from 5-10 years until maturity.  Generally speaking, we will allow bonds to roll down the curve until somewhere around the 5-year mark at which time it is often beneficial to sell that 5-year maturity and redeploy the proceeds into a more attractive opportunity that matures in 7-10 years.  This cycle tends to repeat itself time and time again.  We believe that the intermediate portion of the yield curve is the spot where investors are most appropriately compensated for credit risk and interest rate risk.  An investor can earn a higher yield by investing in bonds that mature in 20 or 30 years but the extra compensation afforded for credit risk beyond 10 years is generally benign and an investor would also be taking on much more interest rate risk beyond 10 years.  Rather than trying to “guess” the next move in interest rates, we position the portfolio in a predictable maturity band and focus our efforts on analyzing the prospects of individual companies that populate our portfolio.  

Much has been written and reported in the financial press with regard to the flattening of the yield curve.  The Fed Funds Target Rate has a significant impact on Treasury rates in the 2-5 year range whereas the 7-10 year band of Treasury rates is more dependent on GDP and inflation expectations.  The first target rate hike of the current cycle occurred in December of 2015.  Since that time and until the end of the second quarter of 2018, the 2-year Treasury has moved 150 basis points higher and the 5-year has gone 100 basis points higher while the 10-year moved just 60 basis points higher.  At the end of the second quarter, the 5/10 Treasury curve was 13 basis points, meaning the 10-year Treasury yield was only 13 basis points higher than the 5-year Treasury yield.  The 10/30 Treasury curve was just as flat, at 13 basis points.  Think of it this way, if you were to invest in a 30-year Treasury instead of a 10-year Treasury, you would only be earning 0.13% more; this hardly seems like very good compensation for a Treasury investor taking on an additional 20 years of maturity.  We at CAM are corporate bond investors so it is important to note that, although corporate bonds trade at a spread over Treasuries, the corporate bonds themselves also have credit curves.  Corporate bond curves tend to behave more rationally than Treasury curves and investors are typically more fairly compensated for taking on additional years of maturity.  Corporate bond curves are organic in nature and ever changing.  Higher quality A-rated corporate credits tend to have flatter curves whereas BBB-rated credits will have steeper curves.  In the below example, you can see that the investor who extends in Apple or Ford credit receives 40 and 56 basis points of compensation respectively, while the Treasury investor receives only 11 basis points of compensation.

As we turn to the second half the year, we at CAM remain as cautious as ever.  The U.S. economic expansion has entered its 10th year, but we must remember that this is a global economy[1].  While the global economy seems relatively good, growth has been low, and it would not take much to create a recessionary environment where risk assets could fare poorly.  There are a number of risks that could impair global growth, most especially a trade conflict that has the potential to erupt into a global trade war.  We continue to be selective in our investments, focusing on higher quality credits with sustainable competitive advantages that will allow them to thrive in a variety of economic environments.  We are also favoring companies with management teams that have shown financial discipline during a prolonged low interest rate environment, as many management teams have been tempted by low borrowing costs and have piled debt on their balance sheets that could force them to refinance in an environment where borrowing costs are higher.  In short, we will continue to add value for our clients by focusing on credit work and populating the portfolio with our best ideas within the realm of corporate credit.

This information is intended solely to report on investment strategies identified by Cincinnati Asset Management. Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation to buy, hold or sell any financial instrument.  Fixed income securities may be sensitive to prevailing interest rates.  When rates rise the value generally declines.  Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.  Gross of advisory fee performance does not reflect the deduction of investment advisory fees.  Our advisory fees are disclosed in Form ADV Part 2A.  Accounts managed through brokerage firm programs usually will include additional fees.  Returns are calculated monthly in U.S. dollars and include reinvestment of dividends and interest. The index is unmanaged and does not take into account fees, expenses, and transaction costs.  It is shown for comparative purposes and is based on information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable.  No representation is made to its accuracy or completeness.


[1] The Wall Street Journal, July 2nd 2018 “Real Time Economics: The U.S. Economic Expansion Enters Its 10th Year… How Much Longer Does It Have?”

24 Jul 2018

Q2 2018 High Yield Commentary

In the second quarter of 2018, the Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index (“Index”) return was 1.03%.  For the year, the Index return was 0.16%.  While Treasury rates have generally increased throughout 2018, High Yield is one of the best performing asset classes within fixed income.  As seen last year and also during Q1, the lowest quality portion of high yield, CCC rated securities, outperformed its higher quality counterparts.  As we have stated many times previously, it is important to note that during 2008 and 2015, CCC rated securities recorded negative returns of 44.35% and 12.11%, respectively.  We highlight these returns to point out that with outsized positive returns come outsized possible losses, and the volatility of the CCC rated cohort may not be appropriate for many clients’ risk profile and tolerance levels.  During the quarter, the Index option adjusted spread widened 9 basis points moving from 354 basis points to 363 basis points.  As a reminder, the Index spread broke the multi-year low of 323 basis points set in 2014 by reaching 311 basis points in late January.  The longer term low of 233 basis points was reached in 2007.  Mid April 2018 had a low spread of 314 basis points essentially retesting the 311 spread of late January.  Every quality grouping of the High Yield Market except CCC rated securities participated in the spread widening as BB rated securities widened 16 basis points, B rated securities widened 9 basis points, and CCC rated securities tightened 45 basis points.

The Energy, Communications, and Electric Utilities sectors were the best performers during the quarter, posting returns of 2.52%, 1.93%, and 1.47%, respectively.  On the other hand, Banking, Consumer Cyclical, and Capital Goods were the worst performing sectors, posting returns of -1.58%, -0.23%, and -0.16%, respectively.  At the industry level, supermarkets, pharma, oil field services, and independent energy all posted strong returns.  The supermarket industry (5.48%) posted the highest return.  However, automotive, tobacco, lodging, and building materials had a rough go of it during the quarter.  The automotive industry (-3.00%) posted the lowest return.

During the second quarter, the high yield primary market posted $52.8 billion in issuance.  Issuance within Financials and Energy was quite strong during the quarter.  The 2018 second quarter level of issuance was significantly less than the $75.6 billion posted during the second quarter of 2017.  Year to date 2018 issuance has continued at a much slower pace than the strong issuance seen in 2017.  The full year issuance for 2017 was $330.1 billion, making 2017 the strongest year of issuance since 2014.  

The Federal Reserve held two meetings during Q2 2018.  The Federal Funds Target Rate was raised at the June 13th meeting.  Reviewing the dot plot that shows the implied future target rate, the Fed is expected to increase two more times in 2018 and three more times in 2019.  However, the Fed will be quite data dependent and likely show flexibility since Chair Powell plans to “strike a balance between the risk of an overheating economy and the need to keep growth on track.”[1]  While the Target Rate increases tend to have a more immediate impact on the short end of the yield curve, yields on intermediate Treasuries increased 12 basis points over the quarter, as the 10-year Treasury yield was at 2.74% on March 31st, and 2.86% at the end of the quarter.  The 5-year Treasury increased 18 basis points over the quarter, moving from 2.56% on March 31st, to 2.74% at the end of the quarter.  Intermediate term yields more often reflect GDP and expectations for future economic growth and inflation rather than actions taken by the FOMC to adjust the Target Rate.  Inflation as measured by core CPI has been moving steadily higher during 2018 from 1.8% to 2.2% as of the June 12th report.  The revised first quarter GDP print was 2.0%, and the consensus view of most economists suggests a GDP for 2018 in the upper 2% range with inflation expectations at or above 2%.  The chart on the left from Bloomberg shows the yield compression of the 2 year US Treasury versus the 10 year US Treasury over the past year.

While the Fed continues a less accommodative posture, other Central Banks aren’t necessarily following suit.  The Bank of Japan is still buying an annualized JPY45 trillion of Japanese Government Bonds (“JGB’s”) and targeting a JGB yield of 0%.[2]  The Bank of England is maintaining bond purchases and keeping rates at 0.5%.[3]  Additionally, the European Central Bank has plans to keep rates where they are for at least another year as Mario Draghi recently commented “at least through the summer of 2019 and in any case for as long as necessary to ensure that the evolution of inflation remains aligned with the current expectations of a sustained adjustment path.”[4]  This backdrop has no doubt been a factor in the US Dollar appreciation during the second quarter of 2018.  As can be seen in the charts below from Barclays, growth is increasingly driven by the US and policy is becoming more divergent.

Investors had high expectations for the G7 Summit in Quebec in early June due to the United States’ positioning on global trade.  However, the Summit left much to be desired.  President Trump decided to leave early and withdraw support from the joint statement.  Canada, France, and Germany all spoke out against the US President following the meeting.  IMF’s Christine Lagarde noted that there is a risk to global growth with the escalating threats of a trade war.[5]  So while US growth has been improving, trade is a risk that needs to be monitored as the US continues to push for a shake up of the global status quo.

Being a more conservative asset manager, Cincinnati Asset Management remains significantly underweight CCC and lower rated securities.  For the second quarter, the focus on higher quality credits was again a detriment as our High Yield Composite gross total return underperformed the return of the Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index (-0.20% versus 1.03%).  The higher quality credits that were a focus tended to react more negatively to the interest rate movements.  Our credit selections in the capital goods, communications, and healthcare were an additional drag on our performance.  However, our credit selections in the food & beverage and metals & mining industries were a bright spot.  Additionally, our underweight in the energy sector hurt performance.  Our credit selection within the midstream subsector was a benefit to performance. 

The Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index ended the second quarter with a yield of 6.49%.  This yield is an average that is barbelled by the CCC rated cohort yielding 8.84% and a BB rated slice yielding 5.40%.  The Index yield has become more and more attractive since the third quarter of 2017.  Equity volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, has trended down from the first quarter of this year but is still elevated relative to 2017.   High Yield default volume was very low during the second quarter, and the twelve month default rate decreased to 1.98%.[6]   The current default rate remains significantly below the historical average.  Fundamentals of high yield companies continue to be generally solid.  Moody’s recently published results of a survey they conducted on the effects of the Tax Cut and Jobs Act.  The results showed that across the credit spectrum, the majority of companies expect to be better off and have improved cash flow.  Finally, from a technical perspective, while flows have continued to be negative in High Yield, demand (coupon + flows) is outstripping supply (issuance + redemptions).  This positive backdrop is likely to provide support for the market especially as sizeable coupon payment demand begins to kick in towards the end of the year.  Due to the historically below average default rates and the higher income available in the High Yield market, it is still an area of select opportunity relative to other fixed income products.  

Over the near term, we plan to remain rather selective.  When the riskiest end of the High Yield market begins to break down, our clients should realize the benefit of our positioning in the higher quality segments of the market.  The market needs to be carefully monitored to evaluate that the given compensation for the perceived level of risk remains appropriate on a security by security basis.  It is important to focus on credit research and buy bonds of corporations that can withstand economic headwinds and also enjoy improved credit metrics in a stable to improving economy.  As always, we will continue our search for value and adjust positions as we uncover compelling situations.

This information is intended solely to report on investment strategies identified by Cincinnati Asset Management. Opinions and estimates offered constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice, as are statements of financial market trends, which are based on current market conditions. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation to buy, hold or sell any financial instrument.  Fixed income securities may be sensitive to prevailing interest rates.  When rates rise the value generally declines.  Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.  Gross of advisory fee performance does not reflect the deduction of investment advisory fees.  Our advisory fees are disclosed in Form ADV Part 2A.  Accounts managed through brokerage firm programs usually will include additional fees.  Returns are calculated monthly in U.S. dollars and include reinvestment of dividends and interest. The index is unmanaged and does not take into account fees, expenses, and transaction costs.  It is shown for comparative purposes and is based on information generally available to the public from sources believed to be reliable.  No representation is made to its accuracy or completeness.

See Accompanying Endnotes


[1] Reuters February 27, 2018:  “First Congressional Testimony by Fed Chair Powell”

[2] Proshare/Fitch Ratings June 27, 2018:  “Bank of Japan Asset Purchases Continue to Slow Sharply”

[3] Bank of England June 21, 2018:  “Monetary Policy Summary”

[4] MarketWatch June 14, 2018:  “5 Key Takeaways from the ECB”

[5] Bloomberg June 11, 2018:  “Lagarde Says Clouds Over Global Economy Are Darker by the Day”

[6] JP Morgan July 2, 2018:  “Default Monitor”

20 Jul 2018

CAM High Yield Weekly Insights

Fund Flows & Issuance: According to a Wells Fargo report, flows week to date were -$0.6 billion and year to date flows stand at -$35.1 billion. New issuance for the week was $2.7 billion and year to date HY is at $111.3 billion, which is -24% over the same period last year. 

(Bloomberg) High Yield Market Highlights

  • Supply eludes the U.S. high-yield bond market, which is on track for the slowest July for new issuance since 2008. Two deals are expected to price today, and no new issues were added to the calendar.
  • July has traditionally been a light month for junk bond sales, with an average supply of $15.5b the last five years
  • Year-to-date supply is lowest since 2009
  • Supply is down 24% year-over- year
  • Junk bonds spread and yields were resilient yesterday amid faltering stocks and rising VIX
  • High yield spreads and yields were little changed
  • CCCs are at a 5-month low yield
  • High yield has been operating in a friendly environment backed by the supply shortage, steady economic growth with no imminent threat of recession, healthy corporate earnings, low default rate


(The Economist) Netflix suffers a big wobble

  • Even the most celebrated firms have their hiccups. On July 16th Netflix, an online-streaming giant, presented disappointing news to investors: it had added just 5.2m new subscribers in the second quarter of 2018, well below its projected number of 6.2m. Shares plunged by 14%.
  • This most recent bout of volatility may say more about the firm’s soothsaying abilities than the strength of its underlying business. Although Netflix’s subscriber growth fell short of its own projections, it was still in line with that of past quarters. In percentage terms, Netflix registered a bigger miss against projected subscriber growth in the second quarter of 2016, when its shares fell by 13%.
  • When asked this week to explain the forecasting error, Netflix’s chief executive, Reed Hastings, responded that the company never worked out what happened in 2016 either, “other than that there is some lumpiness in the business”. It is possible that subscriber growth fell short of expectations because none of the shows Netflix released last quarter captivated audiences in the way that past hits such as “House of Cards” have. Data from Metacritic, a review-aggregator, show its users gave Netflix shows released in the past quarter an average score of just 6.4 out of 10, well below the online streamer’s historical average of 7.2.  


(The New York Times) As Momentum for Sinclair Deal Stalls, Tribune Considers Options

  • The Sinclair Broadcast Group’s plan to create a broadcasting behemoth that it hoped would rival Rupert Murdoch’s Fox News appears to be coming to an end.
  • Already the largest local television operator in the nation, Sinclair agreed last year to buy the rival TV group Tribune Media for $3.5 billion. The deal would have given the combined company control of broadcasters reaching seven in 10 households across the country, including in New York, Chicago and Los Angeles.
  • But in light of the Federal Communications Commission’s draft order this week questioning whether Sinclair was sufficiently transparent in how it represented the deal to regulators and whether a merger would be in the public interest, Tribune said in a statement Thursday that it was “evaluating its implications and assessing all of our options.”
  • The merger agreement allows either side to walk away from the deal if it does not close by Aug. 8. Sinclair declined to comment.
  • This week has brought a stunning shift in momentum for a deal that once seemed almost assured of being completed, thanks in no small part to policy changes proposed or enacted by the F.C.C. and advocated by Sinclair. The commission had also eased a cap on how many stations a broadcaster can own and relaxed a restriction on advertising revenue and other resources shared by television stations.
  • But on Monday, the agency’s chairman, Ajit Pai — who is the subject of an investigation by the office of the F.C.C.’s inspector general regarding his new policies — said he had “serious concerns” about the Sinclair-Tribune merger. Mr. Pai asked the agency’s four commissioners to hand off its review of the merger to an administrative law judge to determine the legality of Sinclair’s proposal.


(Aluminium Insider) Arconic Lands Long-Term Aluminium Sheet Supply Contract With Boeing

  • Value-added aluminium firm Arconic announced Monday a new, long-term contract with The Boeing Company to supply the aerospace firm with aluminium sheet and plate for the entirety of its offerings from Boeing Commercial Airplanes.
  • This latest contract is the biggest to date, and it builds upon a deal signed by Arconic’s predecessor-in-interest with Boeing four years ago. Arconic and its predecessors have a longstanding relationship to provide wing skins for the entirety of Boeing’s metallic-structured airplanes, and this week’s agreement adds structural plate to the slate, which is used on a wide swath of Boeing’s offerings, including the 787 and 777X.
  • Arconic plans to use materials produced by its Very Thick Plate Stretcher (VTPS), which is a program that began last year and is capable of stretching thicker aluminium plate than any competing process. Additionally, Arconic will begin offering aluminium plate treated by its new horizontal heat-treat furnace, which it expects to begin qualifications next year.
  • Per Arconic, the principal challenge faced by composite wing makers is maintaining structural strength as wing surfaces increase. Arconic says its processes have allowed aircraft manufacturers like Boeing to address this problem, which has, in turn, led to a significant uptick in demand for its composite aluminium sheet solutions.


(The Wall Street Journal) Arconic Draws Interest From Buyout Firms 

  • Aerospace-parts maker Arconic Inc. ARNC -2.59% is the subject of takeover interest from private-equity firms, according to people familiar with the matter.
  • The company has received expressions of interest from buyout firms including Apollo Global Management APO -1.93% LLC, the people said.
  • A takeover of Arconic would be a relatively big deal, especially for private equity. The New York company, which was known as Alcoabefore the aluminum maker broke itself up, currently has a market value of $8.3 billion, so with a typical premium it could go for north of $10 billion in a sale. Arconic also has $6.4 billion in debt.
  • No deal is imminent, and there is no guarantee there will be one.


(CAM Note) HCA debt was upgraded one notch by S&P

  • The upgrade reflects the company’s credit profile, cash flow growth, and free cash flow generation.


(CAM Note) Ingles debt was upgraded one notch by Moody’s

  • The upgrade reflects the company’s real estate base, stable gross margins, and same store sales numbers in the context of a competitive food retail landscape.