CAM High Yield Weekly Insights


CAM High Yield Weekly Insights

Fund Flows & Issuance: According to Wells Fargo, flows week to date were $1.0 billion and year to date flows stand at $4.0 billion. New issuance for the week was $9.3 billion and year to date HY is at $31.5 billion.

(Reuters) Tax reforms might impact U.S. bond market

  • US corporate tax reform proposals are causing consternation among bond market players, who fear their implementation will drastically reduce issuance levels
  • President Donald Trump has plans to cut corporate tax rates, allow repatriation of cash stuck in overseas accounts, and eliminate companies’ ability to deduct debt interest expenses from tax – actions some think would hugely reduce companies’ current reliance on debt
  • “The elimination of tax deductibility will not be the death knell for the corporate bond market all of a sudden,” said Matthew Minnetian, a portfolio manager at Alliance Bernstein
  • “I’d be very surprised to see capital structures change overnight, and if you look at the cost of debt versus the return on equity, the cost of debt is still very low.”

(New York Times) Trump Says Health Law Replacement May Not Be Ready Until 2018

  • President Trump said in an interview that aired on Sunday that a replacement health care law was not likely to be ready until either the end of this year or in 2018, a major shift from promises by both him and Republican leaders to repeal and replace the law as soon as possible
  • “Maybe it’ll take till sometime into next year, but we’re certainly going to be in the process,” Mr. Trump said during an interview with Bill O’Reilly of Fox News, after Mr. O’Reilly asked the president whether Americans could “expect a new health care plan rolled out by the Trump administration this year.”
  • “It statutorily takes awhile to get,” Mr. Trump said. “We’re going to be putting it in fairly soon, I think that, yes, I would like to say by the end of the year at least the rudiments but we should have something within the year and the following year.”

(Fierce Wireless) Mobile video to grow almost 900% by 2021, Cisco predicts

  • Worldwide consumption of mobile video will grow nearly ninefold from 2016 to 2021, Cisco predicted, and will account for 78% of all mobile traffic by the end of that time period, up from 60% last year
  • “With the proliferation of IoT, live mobile video, augmented and virtual reality applications, and more innovative experiences for consumers and business users alike, 5G technology will have significant relevance not just for mobility but rather for networking as a whole,” said Doug Webster, Cisco’s vice president of service provider marketing. “As a result, broader and more extensive architectural transformations involving programmability and automation will also be needed to support the capabilities 5G enables, and to address not just today’s demands but also the extensive possibilities on the horizon.”

(Globe Newswire) CoreCivic Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2016 Results

  • “The final quarter of 2016 was exceptionally busy, with many significant accomplishments of which we are proud. During the quarter we formally launched the CoreCivic brand which more appropriately reflects the range of solutions we can provide, substantially completed the expansion of our Red Rock Correctional Center, entered into two new contracts with Immigration and Customs Enforcement to help address their emergent bed capacity needs, and extended our contract with the Federal Bureau of Prisons at our McRae Correctional Facility, to name a few of those accomplishments,” said Damon T. Hininger, CoreCivic’s President and Chief Executive Officer. “We see many opportunities to work with new and existing partners to deliver real estate solutions that address each partner’s unique needs, and we have the expertise and flexibility to deliver those solutions in an innovative and cost-effective manner.”
  • Revenue of $464.1 million for 4Q increased 3.6% from the prior year quarter
  • Total revenue of $1.85 billion in 2016 versus $1.79 billion in 2015

(Bloomberg) Junk May Slam Into $1 Trillion Wall as Maturities Hit Record

  • A record $1 trillion of junk debt will mature by 2021, leaving high-risk companies to hunt for new cash at a time when markets are likely to be less welcoming, according to Moody’s Investors Service
  • Speculative-grade companies have $1.06 trillion of debt maturing between 2017 and 2021, with the bulk of it, $933 billion, coming due after 2019, Moody’s said Wednesday in a report
  • More than 30 percent of the high-yield bonds coming due are rated Caa1 or below by Moody’s, at least seven levels below investment grade. More than 8 percent of leveraged loans are rated Caa1 or below, up from 5.8 percent in the equivalent 2016 study. The telecommunications sector has the most debt coming due over the next five years with $81 billion

(Bloomberg) OPEC Keeps Its Promise About Crude Oil Cuts, IEA Says

  • OPEC achieved the best compliance rate in its history at the outset of an accord to clear the oil glut
  • The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries implemented 90 percent of promised output cuts in January